Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 15.709641 17.729007 19.926468 22.498105 25.428696 28.668457 32.527158
2025-03-02 12.457539 15.119341 18.248018 22.208275 27.103887 32.978275 40.592906
2025-03-09 10.312104 13.315127 17.085559 22.193213 28.972153 37.716120 49.939340
2025-03-16 8.714741 11.872774 16.072001 22.109687 30.643256 42.384486 59.954831
2025-03-23 7.777613 11.117578 15.793827 22.890373 33.513613 49.024833 73.753790
2025-03-30 6.843388 10.203955 15.127988 22.967629 35.321916 54.352385 86.487936
2025-04-06 5.951658 9.211583 14.184642 22.448408 36.085638 58.132935 97.364157
2025-04-13 5.260232 8.422619 13.427743 22.078026 36.974090 62.162714 109.233983
2025-04-20 4.875303 8.064721 13.294528 22.683172 39.534146 69.307518 127.695682
2025-04-27 4.564710 7.784925 13.243794 23.401690 42.364065 77.301771 149.066858
2025-05-04 4.231803 7.422488 12.999627 23.728240 44.501863 84.306452 169.712680
2025-05-11 3.830815 6.890658 12.388748 23.288023 45.104918 88.430944 185.190353
2025-05-18 3.474321 6.409531 11.832154 22.913268 45.854435 93.104693 203.048528
2025-05-25 3.170608 5.993681 11.350971 22.626029 46.748147 98.235957 222.979767
2025-06-01 2.933410 5.678933 11.027638 22.615317 48.222617 104.847922 247.674860
2025-06-08 2.714817 5.376152 10.692202 22.532681 49.525896 111.287755 273.276630
2025-06-15 2.604107 5.278912 10.761960 23.330911 52.930104 123.118525 314.940177
2025-06-22 2.437927 5.047601 10.524032 23.410607 54.670317 131.264923 348.685379
2025-06-29 2.237702 4.722302 10.048010 22.881117 54.862710 135.609457 372.946851
2025-07-06 2.070358 4.450712 9.659117 22.503337 55.368254 140.820439 400.769670
2025-07-13 1.991452 4.367150 9.682063 23.121143 58.507091 153.509016 453.592669
2025-07-20 1.925451 4.305715 9.748379 23.854640 62.065730 167.972230 515.323465
2025-07-27 1.837782 4.184894 9.661851 24.188020 64.595577 179.993798 572.170041